MIT · on edX

Probability - The Science of Uncertainty and Data

Advanced 160 hours English MicrocredentialFREE
Our recommendation
MIT's rigorous probability course, part of its Statistics and Data Science programme. It is a deep, mathematical treatment of probability — the foundation for serious statistics and machine learning. Genuinely hard and time-consuming, and best for learners who are comfortable with calculus.

Good for: Mathematically comfortable learners who want a deep foundation in probability.

Less suitable if: You want an applied, light-touch course, or you are not comfortable with calculus.

Skills you'll gain

ProbabilityRandom variablesDistributionsBayesian inferenceStochastic processesStatistical reasoning

Is this course right for you?

A good fit if you…

You are comfortable with calculus
You want deep probability theory
You are heading into statistics or ML research

Consider something else if you…

You want an applied, quick course
You are not comfortable with calculus
You need a cheap certificate

Requirements: Single and multivariable calculus. This is advanced.

Realistic time: Around 160 hours; several months at a serious pace.

About this course

Probability - The Science of Uncertainty and Data is the online version of MIT's legendary probability class, refined over 50+ years. Across sixteen rigorous weeks it builds probabilistic modelling from the ground up: probability models and axioms, conditioning and independence, discrete and continuous random variables, Bayesian inference, the laws of large numbers and the Central Limit Theorem, and random processes (Bernoulli, Poisson, Markov chains).

What you'll learn

Build and reason about probabilistic models
Work with discrete and continuous random variables
Apply conditioning, independence and Bayes' rule
Use the laws of large numbers and the CLT
Perform Bayesian and least-squares inference
Model random processes (Poisson, Markov chains)

This course includes

160h
On-demand video
Yes
Certificate
Yes
Mobile access
English
Language

What it costs

Free to audit on edX; the verified certificate is paid and can count towards MIT's Statistics and Data Science MicroMasters.

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Is the certificate recognised?

The verified certificate from MITx can count towards MIT's Statistics and Data Science MicroMasters. It is a serious, recognised credential — but it reflects genuinely demanding work.

Instructor

JT
John Tsitsiklis
edX instructor

Taught by John Tsitsiklis, Professor of Electrical Engineering and Computer Science at MIT, a member of the National Academy of Engineering who has taught probability for over 15 years.

About this provider

ED
edX
Non-profit online learning platform founded by Harvard and MIT. 45M+ learners worldwide.
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Frequently asked questions

Yes. It is one of the more demanding probability courses online, with real mathematical depth.
You can audit it free on edX; the verified certificate is paid and can count towards MIT's MicroMasters.
Yes. It is part of MIT's Statistics and Data Science programme on edX.
Comfort with single and multivariable calculus. It is genuinely advanced.
Yes if you want a rigorous probability foundation for statistics or machine learning, and you have the maths.
Around 160 hours — several months at a serious pace.
Free
to audit
Enroll now